End of Year Explosive Violence Review

As 2011 comes to an end I’d like to take this opportunity to reflect on this year’s explosive violence related events. Sadly, in over 70 countries, explosive weapons have caused severe harm to individuals and communities and furthered suffering by damaging vital infrastructure. But recognition is growing that the use of explosive weapons in places where civilians live, work or gather constitutes a serious humanitarian problem that needs to be addressed. An increasing number of humanitarian actors and states are working to reduce this suffering and improve civilian protection.

Action on Armed Violence’s (AOAV) Explosive Violence Monitoring project recorded almost 33’000 civilian casualties from explosive weapons use in populated areas from October 2010 to the end of November 2011. Some incidents were widely condemned as inhumane and unacceptable, such as the bombing in the crowded arrival area of Moscow’s Domodedovo airport in January 2011 that killed over 60 people and injured over 160, or the powerful bomb blast in the government district of Norway’s capital, Oslo, in July, in connection with the Utøya massacre.

Other events involving explosive force attracted sustained international media attention. In February, a border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia involved artillery shelling and the use of cluster munitions. In March violence escalated in Ivory Coast with Gbagbo forces firing mortar shells into an Abidjan market, killing at least 20 people and wounding around 60. In April and throughout the following months fighting intensified in Libya. Shelling and airstrikes caused civilian casualties and great destruction in Misrata, Sirte and other Libyan cities.

Whereas violence in Côte d’Ivoire and in Libya prompted armed intervention to protect civilians against “heavy weapons” – by way of explosive weapons use that also caused civilian harm – no such action was taken in other contexts.

Children take cover in caves in the hills above Kauda in the Nuba mountains, following repeated aerial bombardment of their towns by Sudanese armed forces. Photograph: Phil Moore

In June, airstrikes by Sudanese government forces displaced tens of thousands (!) of civilians in Southern Kordofan. The North Sudanese air-force also carried out devastating bombing raids in the Blue Nile state and in South Darfur on several occasions throughout this year.

In Yemen, shelling in Taiz and other cities was reported since March. Condemning this violence, the UN Human Rights Chief stated in December that “lethal force and heavy weapons must not be used against peaceful protesters”. Shelling in Syrian cities has been reported since April. But despite evidence of explosive weapons use no international body investigating the situation has explicitly noted that the use of such weapons in populated areas is a key challenge for the protection of civilians and is incompatible with the principles and objectives of law enforcement.

Explosive violence in populated areas has also taken a heavy toll on civilians in many other contexts without attracting an equally sustained level of attention among media and international decision makers. In spring, Bakara Market in Mogadishu, Somalia, was heavily shelled on several occasions. In Pakistan’s Kuram and Orakzai Agencies, airstrikes and shelling by Pakistani security forces continued to kill, injure and displace civilians and to destroy their homes. In June, Pakistani cross-border rocket and mortar shelling killed dozens of Afghan families and left hundreds homeless. US drone strikes and other explosive weapons use have also been a source of civilian harm in this and other parts of the world.

A Kachin Refugee Family at Mai Ja Yang. U.S. Campaign for BurmaSince June, Burmese armed forces have been shelling the Kachin region, causing civilians to flee to neighboring China. Judging from a recent report by the Karen Human Rights Group, the situation in Eastern Burma is still dire. Since mid-July, cross-border shelling by Iran and Turkey into Iraqi Kurdistan killed more than a dozen civilians and displaced thousands. Only yesterday, Turkish air raids reportedly killed over 30 Kurdish villagers in South-East Turkey. Finally, exchanges of artillery and rocket fire and airstrikes continue to inflict suffering on civilians in the Gaza strip and Israel.

Finally, throughout the year, civilians have born the brunt of countless bombings with improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in a high number of countries, including in Afghanistan, Colombia, India, Iraq, Pakistan, Thailand, and the Philippines. In May alone, AOAV recorded over 70 incidents in Iraq where car bombs, roadside bombs or other IEDs have harmed civilians. Civilians were also victims of a number of grenade attacks in Burundi, Rwanda, Somalia, and elsewhere. A grenade attack at a casino in Monterrey, Mexico, in August killed at least 53 people. And, landmines and unexploded ordnance remain a source of harm to civilians.

Basque flag waves as thousands pro independence citizens march during a rally calling for the independence of the Basque Country in Bilbao northern Spain Saturday Oct. 22, 2011. The Basque separatist armed group ETA announced the end of it's armed struggle on Thursday . (AP Photo/Alvaro Barrientos) (Credit: AP) However, to end the year on some good news: in October the Basque separatist organization ETA declared it will abandon its armed struggle, putting an end to four decades of bombings and gun attacks. AMISOM is in the process of implementing an “indirect fire policy” which may have helped to reduce civilian harm from mortar shelling in Mogadishu in recent months. And, in October, the International Ammunition Technical Guidelines (IATG) were published. These standards, developed within the UN, may help to improve protection of civilian populations from unplanned explosive events in ammunition stockpiles.

Progress was also made in the fight against landmines and cluster munitions: More contaminated land has been cleared off landmines than ever before. Cambodian landmine survivors perform elegant traditional dance before delegates at the 11MSP, celebrating the mine ban movement in Cambodia. © Giovanni DiffidentiFinland made progress towards meeting its stated goal of acceding to the Mine Ban Treaty in 2012, and Burundi and Nigeria are the latest countries to have declared themselves mine free. Eighteen states joined the Cluster Munitions Convention this year, and progress towards universalization of the treaty is likely to speed up, given the failure of the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) to adopt an alternative norm on cluster munitions in November. The CCW did, however, decide to convene a group of governmental experts on mines other than anti-personnel mines in 2012.

2011 also saw positive signs of increasing awareness and recognition among states that explosive violence in populated areas constitutes a serious humanitarian problem. During the Libya campaign, avoiding civilian casualties from airstrikes was declared the “overriding objective” of the war, and a number of states and international organizations have on different occasions acknowledged the harm caused by explosive weapons in populated areas. During the latest UN Security Council debate on the protection of civilians, Norway said it would welcome discussions with partners on this issue. >The International Network on Explosive Weapons (INEW) has compiled a list of relevant official  statements.

Sirte, Libya. An ICRC assessment team advances through Sirte, in ruins following weeks of heavy fighting. The city is empty and very few civilians have so far returned to check on their destroyed homes. © ICRC / Y. El ShalwiCivil society organizations, in particular INEW members, have been instrumental in furthering awareness, coordinating research and advocacy efforts and fostering a community of practice concerned with addressing the humanitarian problems caused by explosive violence. Quite recently, Human Rights Watch and Harvard Law School’s International Human Rights Clinic have published a backgrounder on the use of explosive weapons in populated areas.  >Find more 2011 publications on explosive weapons on this website.

Two reports by the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) should also be mentioned. One highlights explosive violence as a challenge to the delivery of health care. The other, prepared for this year’s Red Cross Conference, elaborates on concerns voiced previously by ICRC representatives in relation to explosive violence near concentrations of civilians and concludes that “explosive weapons with a wide impact area should be avoided in densely populated areas.”

Deserted: The denuded buildings of Sirte will have to be demolished after they were pounded with heavy artillery for weeks. © EPADaily reports of civilian suffering from the use of explosive weapons in populated areas combined with a paucity of detailed data on its causes and consequences, and the failure of users to make amends to victims underline the importance of carrying forward work aimed at reducing and preventing harm from explosive violence in 2012 and beyond. Developments since the issue of explosive violence broke onto the international policy making agenda indicate that progress is possible towards greater transparency and accountability regarding the use and impact of explosive weapons and ensuring the rights of victims.

Explosive Weapons Panel at the International Security Forum 2011

Civilians walk along Tripoli Street in Misrata. © UNHCR/H.Caux/June 1, 2011.

Last week, the Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining (GICHD) in cooperation with the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR) held a panel discussion on The Impact of Explosive Weapons on Civilians at the International Security Forum (ISF), which took place from 30 May to 1 June in Zurich, Switzerland.

The panellists discussed the humanitarian impact of explosive violence and offered different perspectives on how to mitigate this impact. Special thanks for the excellent organization of the panel event go to Stefanie Egger (GICHD).

Barbara Haering (President of GICHD Council of Foundation), who chaired the panel, recalled that the UN Secretary-General and other high-level UN officials, including OCHA Emergency Relief Coordinator (ERC), Valerie Amos, have repeatedly expressed concern about the humanitarian consequences of explosive weapons use in areas populated by civilians. The ERC’s recent statement regarding the situation in Libya and the EU’s statement at the latest UN Security Council debate on the protection of civilians in armed conflict, for example, attest to growing awareness at the international policy level of the serious humanitarian problems associated with explosive violence.

These concerns seemed to resonate with the experiences of Norah Niland, former Chief Human Rights officer and Head of the Human Rights Unit of the UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA). Niland, among other things, stressed the importance of strong data as a basis for effective advocacy in favor of the victims of armed conflict.

Richard Moyes of the International Network on Explosive Weapons (INEW) also underlined the importance of data on victimization. He also emphasized that public policy statements on the acceptability of explosive weapons use in the vicinity of civilians are important for bringing about more user accountability and transparency regarding the impacts of explosive violence.

Erik Tollefsen (GICHD) offered a technical perspective on explosive weapons and raised particular concerns about the ongoing trend towards ever more powerful – and more harmful – improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in the hands of non-state actors – devices increasingly assembled from abandoned or unexploded military ammunition.

John Borrie (UNIDIR) noted that an approach focusing on the use of explosive weapons technology in the context of civilian populated areas may raise transversal issues that do not fit neatly into existing policy processes. Borrie called on those seeking to increase the protection of civilians to reflect on the implications of this approach for their operational and policy work.

This panel discussion was the last activity of UNIDIR’s Discourse on Explosive Weapons (DEW) project, which formally concluded in April 2011. UNIDIR plans to carry out future research in this area, focusing on the norms governing explosive weapons use by states. After a brief summer break, this website will continue to provide you with updates on UNIDIR’s research and explosive weapons related work by others. Until then, stay abreast of explosive weapons issues by reading AOAV’s Explosive Violence Updates and  its Bi-weekly Reports, and enjoy the summer!

Violent deaths of Iraqi civilians – cause to rethink the use of airpower in populated areas

Last week, Madelyn Hsiao-Rei Hicks and colleagues published an article in PLoS Medicine, a peer-reviewed open-access medical journal, including statistical analyses of violence-related civilian deaths between 2003-2008 in Iraq. This blog post focuses on that study’s findings relating to the effects of explosive violence.

At a time when Wikileaks cables have once more sparked debate about the correct number of civilian casualties from NATO and US airstrikes in Afghanistan, this article hopefully may help to shift the focus from disputed absolute numbers of dead civilians onto broader concerns around patterns of civilian harm, measures to strengthen civilian protection, development of preventive policies, increased transparency about the effects of armed violence, and accountability for harm done.

The article analyses data from the Iraq Body Count database and focuses on direct civilian deaths from armed violence. The authors distinguish between unknown perpetrators, anti-Coalition forces, and Coalition forces. Unknown perpetrators by definition are those who target civilians, while appearing indistinguishable from civilians. The study also provides information of civilian deaths caused by weapon type, time and location, and offers a number of thought provoking findings that are of interest from a public health, humanitarian protection and legal perspective.

The study tends to lend support to concerns expressed by others that explosive violence kills and injures significant numbers of people who are not combatants, and that incidents of explosive violence generally produce multiple deaths.

Civilian deaths from air attacks, which typically involve bombs or missiles, peaked during the invasion. Of all methods used by Unknown and Anti-Coalition perpetrators, suicide bombers killed the greatest numbers of Iraqi civilians per event.

The authors find, for instance, that suicide bombing killed the greatest proportion of anti-Coalition civilian victims, whereas air attacks without ground fire killed the greatest proportion of Coalition civilian victims, with particularly high numbers of dead during the invasion in 2003.

In violent events of no more than 2 days, in which at least one civilian died, the highest average number of civilians (19) was killed by suicide bomber attacks by unknown perpetrators. The study assumes that these attackers were targeting civilians. It is cause for concern that Coalition aerial bombing attacks, which were presumably launched against a legitimate military objective, resulted in an almost equally high average of 17 civilians incidentally or accidentally killed in such events.

Coalition forces caused a significantly higher proportion of woman and child deaths among its civilian deaths during 2003–2008 than did Anti-Coalition forces [...].

The authors applied the so-called “Dirty War Index” (DWI) to measure the proportion of women and children among all civilian deaths of known demographic status. The DWI is described elsewhere by Hicks and Spagat as “a data-driven public health tool based on laws of war that systematically identifies rates of particularly undesirable or prohibited, i.e., “dirty,” war outcomes inflicted on populations during armed conflict.” As women and, in particular, children are less likely to be legitimate military targets than men, this DWI can indicate relatively indiscriminate effects of weapons or weapons-use, and can signal relatively higher-risk effects on women and children from certain means and methods of warfare.

It would appear, for instance, that the use of mortars and of non-suicide vehicle bombs by unknown perpetrators, and Coalition air attacks without ground fire, involving bombs or missiles, bore the highest risks of indiscriminate effects on women and children. Looking at the figures over time, the authors find that in contrast to anti-Coalition forces, “proportions of women and children among Coalition civilian victims did not change significantly over 2003–2008″.

These and other findings lead Hicks et al. to conclude that

indiscriminate lethal effects of explosive aerial weapons on civilians need to be addressed through changed practice and policy on the use of air power in armed conflict, with air attacks on populated areas prohibited or systematically monitored to demonstrate civilian protection.

This echoes calls by others concerned about the human cost of explosive violence and reinforces demands on the users of armed force to systematically collect and make available data on civilian harm.

References: Hicks MH-R, Dardagan H, Guerrero Serdán G, Bagnall PM, Sloboda JA, et al. (2011) Violent Deaths of Iraqi Civilians, 2003–2008: Analysis by Perpetrator, Weapon, Time, and Location. PLoS Med 8(2): e1000415. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000415